UFC 301 odds: ‘Prelims’ undercard betting lines showcase | Pantoja vs. Erceg

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UFC 301 decreases this Saturday night (May 4, 2024) inside Farmasi Arena in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. The pay-per-view (PPV) centerpiece sees Flyweight champ, Alexandre Pantoja, safeguarding his title against relative beginner, Steve Erceg. UFC 301’s co-main occasion functions UFC Hall of Famer and previous Featherweight champ, Jose Aldo, coming out of retirement (as fighters are wont to do) to handle the unsafe Jonathan Martinez (see things get chippy in between these 2 here).

Earlier today, we covered all the cash line odds offered for UFC 301, now it’s time to focus in on the “Prelims” undercard part of the card. The “Prelims” — like the remainder of the card — include a “Brazil vs. The World” style. In most cases, the Brazilian fighters are favorites. Nearly all the bouts have quite uneven odds, resulting in some MMA Maniacs to recommend there’s little worth on this card.
However, let’s take a deep dive on UFC 301’s “Prelims” and see if anything stands apart:

UFC 301 Late ‘Prelims’ Under Card Money Line Odds
Jack Shore (+140) vs. Joanderson Brito (-166)Karolina Kowalkiewicz (+320) vs. Iasmin Lucindo (-410)Elves Brener (+205) vs. Myktybek Orolbai (-250)Jean Silva (-120) vs. William Gomis (+100)

UFC 301 Early ‘Prelims’ Under Card Money Line Odds
Joaquim Silva (+150) vs. Drakkar Klose (-180)Mauricio Ruffy (-218) vs. Jamie Mullarkey (+180)Dione Barbosa (-238) vs. Ernesta Kareckaite (+195)Ismael Bonfim (-520) vs. Vinc Pichel (+390)Alessandro Costa (-130) vs. Kevin Borjas (+110)
UFC 301 ‘Prelims’ Line Movement

UFC 301’s Jamie Mullarkey.

Photo by Chris Unger/Zuffa LLC through Getty Images

We are going to breakdown line motions throughout the entire card in far more information tomorrow right here. But, in the meantime, there’s been some fascinating relocations including UFC 301’s “Prelims” undercard:

Drakkar Klose’s odds to beat Joaquim Silva have actually reduced from -162 to -180 in the last couple of days. Silva’s rate has actually increased from +130 to +150.

Jamie Mullarkey’s odds are the most unstable on the whole card. He was a -180 preferred when his fight with Mauricio Ruffy was revealed and now he’s a +180 underdog (increasing from a +142 pet on Monday). Significant cash should be can be found in on Ruffy, who is presently a -218 favorite.

William Gomis — among my preferred pets on the card — has actually seen his odds relocation from +135 to +100 in the previous couple of days.

Ernesta Kareckaite’s odds have actually increased from +170 to +195 in the last couple of days.

UFC 301’s Dione Barbosa choosing the sub against Rainn Guerrero in the UFC PEAK.

Photo by Cooper Neill/Zuffa LLC through Getty Images

UFC 301 ‘Prelims’ Prop Bets
At this point in the week, DraftKings have actually struck us with numerous prop bets for this global PPV card. Here are some fascinating choices including Saturday’s undercard:

Dione Barbosa to beat Ernesta Kareckaite through submission (+225)

Barbosa has actually won half her 6 expert battles submission and made her UFC agreement with an armbar surface over Rainn Guerrero on Contender Series in 2015. Barbosa is a Brazilian jiu-jitsu black-belt who was on the Brazilian Judo group for the Olympics. Kareckaite, on the other hand, is mainly a stand-up fighter, for this reason her “Heavy Hands” label. She battles out of Lithuania, where I picture it’s tough to get leading grappling direct exposure. She likewise has long arms, which will assist her when standing, however might be a liability on the ground (against somebody skilled in demolishing limbs).

UFC 301’s Mauricio Ruffy trading blows with Raimond Magomedaliev on the Contender Series.

Photo by Chris Unger/Zuffa LLC through Getty Images

Jamie Mullarkey to beat Mauricio Ruffy through KO/TKO (+600)

Mullarkey is an underdog here, in spite of being noted as a preferred when this fight was initially revealed. Ruffy is a 30-year-old Contender Series graduate who has actually just combated on the Brazilian local scene. His one loss is a technical knockout to Manoel Sousa in 2019 (see that listed below). Ruffy likes to enter fire battles, with his by far low. Mullarkey will offer him a brawl if he desires one and who’s to state Mullarkey (with much more Octagon-level experience) can’t discover his chin?

UFC 301’s Karolina Kowalkiewicz getting approval versus Diana Belbita.

Photo by Al Powers/Zuffa LLC through Getty Images

Karolina Kowalkiewicz to beat Iasmin Lucindo through choice (+450)

If you like Kowalkiewicz as an underdog here — against a fighter young sufficient to be her child — then you may too take her to win through choice. Kowalkiewicz has actually won 12 of her 16 expert wins by choice. The initially 3 surfaces of her profession all came throughout her very first 5 bouts in between 2012 and 2014. The just other surface she has is a submission over a 37-year-old Felice Herrig in 2022 (watch it here). Lucindo is getting a great deal of regard here in spite of having just a 15-5 record and holding losses to the middling Gabriella Fernandes and Invicta washout Barbara Acioly.

UFC 301’s William Gomis after his bulk choice win over Jarno Errens.

Photo by Jeff Bottari/Zuffa LLC

Jean Silva vs. William Gomis to be won through split/majority choice (+350)

I believe this is an actually close fight and I believe both guys will have the ability to prevent getting completed. So, I think there is a great possibility this goes to the judges which those judges have a tough time finding out who won (home town cooking aside). Also, Gomis’ last 2 choices have actually been a split (vs. Francis Marshall) and a bulk (vs. Jarno Errens). Silva has actually just heard the judges’ choice as soon as, however Gomis represents a genuine action up in competitors for him.

UFC 301’s Ismael Bonfim putting the pressure on Terrance McKinney the last time he combated in Rio.

Photo by Buda Mendes/Zuffa LLC through Getty Images

Ismael Bonfim vs. Vinc Pichel to end in the first one minute of Round 1 (+1400)

Here’s the “Hail Mary” for the week. I’m believing there’s an opportunity Bonfim secures Pichel in one minute or less. He’s the very first reasonably identifiable Brazilian skill on the card, so the crowd ought to be actually hot for him (similar to they were when he knocked out Terrance McKinney with a flying knee — view it). Maybe he feeds off the crowd once again on Saturday and blitzes away his 41-year-old challenger. Bonfim has 2 sub-minute wins in his profession, though one remained in 2013 and the other was because of an injury. In 2020, he scored a technical knockout win in 1:12 and a year before that he got an anaconda choke win in 1:39.
Poll Time
Which of these UFC 301 “Prelims” props do you like the most? Let us understand what other “Prelims” props have actually captured your attention in the remarks listed below.

Which of these 301 prelim prop bets do you like the most?

This survey is closed


Dione Barbosa to beat Ernesta Kareckaite through submission (+225)

(25 votes)


Jamie Mullarkey to beat Mauricio Ruffy through KO/TKO (+600)

(10 votes)


Karolina Kowalkiewicz to beat Iasmin Lucindo through choice (+450)

(36 votes)


Jean Silva vs. William Gomis to be won by split or bulk choice (+350)

(12 votes)


Ismael Bonfim vs. Vinc Pichel to end in the first one minute of Round 1 (+1400)

(20 votes)

103 votes overall

Vote Now

LIVE! Watch UFC 301 PPV On ESPN+ Here!

RAUCUS GO BACK TO RIO! Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) goes back to Farmasi Arena in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, on Sat., May 4, 2024, including Flyweight champ, Alexandre Pantoja, safeguarding his belt against unbeaten opposition, Steve Erceg, in the pay-per-view (PPV) centerpiece of the night. UFC 301’s co-main occasion functions “The King of Rio,” Jose Aldo, going back to the Bantamweight department for the very first time in nearly 2 years to handle Jonathan Martinez. UFC 301’s PPV primary card (see it here) will likewise include Anthony Smith vs. Vitor Petrino, Michel Pereira vs. Ihor Potieria therefore far more. It’s must-watch action! UFC 301 start time arranged for 6 p.m. ET (Prelims) and 10 p.m. ET (PPV).

Don’t miss out on a single second of impressive face-punching action!

Remember that MMAmania.com will provide LIVE round-by-round, blow-by-blow protection of the whole UFC 301 fight card right here, beginning with the early ESPN+ “Prelims” matches online, which are arranged to start at 6 p.m. ET (simulcast on ESPN2 at 8 p.m. ET), before the pay-per-view (PPV) primary card start time at 10 p.m. ET (likewise on ESPN+).
To have a look at the current and biggest UFC 301: “Pantoja vs. Erceg” news and notes make sure to strike up our detailed occasion archive right here.


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